Matthew O'Rourke vs Rainy Martinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record0-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
-Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight195 lbs
Team Ryano Waterford· 1566 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1494
If they lose-25→ 1446
If they win+25→ 1483
If they lose-23→ 1435
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1503 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matthew O'RourkeRainy Martinez
Combat Edge model read
Matthew O'Rourke56%
Rainy Martinez 44%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthew O'Rourke a 56% favorite over Rainy Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1458), separated by just 13 points.
Rainy Martinez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.