Combat Edge Intelligence

Matthew O'Rourke vs Roland Payne

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
-Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team Ryano WaterfordTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matthew O'RourkeNow 1471
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447
Roland PayneNow 1471
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Combat Edge model read

Matthew O'Rourke60%
Roland Payne 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matthew O'Rourke a 60% favorite over Roland Payne in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1471), separated by just 0 points.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.