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Combat Edge Intelligence

Matthew O'Rourke vs Thaddeus Luster

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
-Height6'3"
-ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight200 lbs
Team Ryano Waterford· 1566 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matthew O'RourkeNow 1471
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447
Thaddeus LusterNow 1470
If they win+24→ 1494
If they lose-24→ 1446

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Combat Edge model read

Matthew O'Rourke59%
Thaddeus Luster 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matthew O'Rourke a 59% favorite over Thaddeus Luster in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1470), separated by just 1 points.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.