Matthew O'Rourke vs Valeri Ignatov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record1-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
-Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight191 lbs
Team Ryano WaterfordTeamShamrock 2000
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447
If they win+24→ 1490
If they lose-24→ 1442
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1503 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matthew O'RourkeValeri Ignatov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matthew O'Rourke66%
Valeri Ignatov 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthew O'Rourke a 66% favorite over Valeri Ignatov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1466), separated by just 5 points.
Valeri Ignatov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.