Combat Edge Intelligence

Matthew Riddle vs Nick Osipczak

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record6-3-0
TBDDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight6'1"
TBDReachTBD
TBDWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Rough House

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matthew RiddleNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
Nick OsipczakNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1592 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.01
Sig. strikes / min
2.83
42%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.77
55%
Strike defense
51%
3.51
Takedown avg.
1.20
50%
Takedown accuracy
45%
89%
Takedown defense
71%
0.54
Submission avg.
0.96

Trajectory

Matthew RiddleNick Osipczak
1550160020112012201320142015

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Matthew Riddle58%
Nick Osipczak 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matthew Riddle a 58% favorite over Nick Osipczak in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1583), separated by just 0 points.

Matthew Riddle enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nick Osipczak 100%.

Matthew Riddle and Nick Osipczak share 1 common opponent: Greg Soto.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDQ · 2010
Greg Soto
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2010