Matthew Riddle
Elo1583SolidMatthew Riddle vs Sean Pierson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →Elo1583Solid
Tale of the tape
0-0-0Record14-6-0
TBDDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight6'1"
TBDReachTBD
TBDWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamTap Star
What's at stake
Sean Pierson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Matthew Riddle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1610
If they lose-21→ 1562
If they win+14→ 1646
If they lose-18→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matthew RiddleSean Pierson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Pierson62%
Matthew Riddle 38%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Pierson a 62% favorite over Matthew Riddle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Sean Pierson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1632 to 1583, a 49-point edge.
Matthew Riddle enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Sean Pierson enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Sean Pierson 71%.
Matthew Riddle and Sean Pierson share 1 common opponent: Lance Benoist.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.