Combat Edge Intelligence

Matthew Riddle vs Steve Bruno

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Steve Bruno
us

Steve Bruno

“Hollywood”

15-6-0MiddleweightFTP

1568Solid

Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record15-6-0
TBDDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight5'10"
TBDReachTBD
TBDWeight174 lbs
TBDTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Matthew Riddle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Steve Bruno carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Matthew RiddleNow 1583
If they win+23→ 1606
If they lose-25→ 1558
Steve BrunoNow 1568
If they win+17→ 1585
If they lose-15→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1592 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.01
Sig. strikes / min
0.96
42%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.38
55%
Strike defense
36%
3.51
Takedown avg.
1.94
50%
Takedown accuracy
25%
89%
Takedown defense
46%
0.54
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Matthew RiddleSteve Bruno
1550160020112012

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (47%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Matthew Riddle61%
Steve Bruno 39%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Matthew Riddle a 61% favorite over Steve Bruno in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Matthew Riddle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1583 to 1568, a 15-point edge.

Matthew Riddle enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Steve Bruno 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.