Matthew Semelsberger vs Preston Parsons
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-8-0Record11-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
75"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1613
If they lose-15→ 1581
If they win+15→ 1624
If they lose-17→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matthew SemelsbergerPreston Parsons
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matthew Semelsberger57%
Preston Parsons 43%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthew Semelsberger a 57% favorite over Preston Parsons in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Preston Parsons's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1609), separated by just 13 points.
Matthew Semelsberger enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Preston Parsons enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matthew Semelsberger finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Preston Parsons 82%.
Matthew Semelsberger carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.