Matthew Semelsberger vs Themba Gorimbo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-8-0Record14-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
75"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Clinch AcademyTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matthew SemelsbergerThemba Gorimbo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Themba Gorimbo60%
Matthew Semelsberger 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Themba Gorimbo a 60% favorite over Matthew Semelsberger in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matthew Semelsberger's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1608), separated by just 0 points.
Matthew Semelsberger enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Themba Gorimbo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Matthew Semelsberger finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Themba Gorimbo 57%.
Matthew Semelsberger and Themba Gorimbo share 2 common opponents: Jeremiah Wells and AJ Fletcher.
Themba Gorimbo carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.