Combat Edge Intelligence

Matthieu Duclos vs Modestino Rodrigues

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record7-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'2"
77"Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matthieu DuclosNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Modestino RodriguesNow 1634
If they win+24→ 1658
If they lose-24→ 1610

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.93
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
37%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Matthieu DuclosModestino Rodrigues
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (80%)
KO/TKO
7 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Matthieu Duclos and Modestino Rodrigues within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1634), separated by just 0 points.

Matthieu Duclos enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Modestino Rodrigues enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Matthieu Duclos finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Modestino Rodrigues 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.