Matthieu Duclos vs Modestino Rodrigues
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record8-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'3"
76"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
If they win+24→ 1685
If they lose-24→ 1637
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matthieu DuclosModestino Rodrigues
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Modestino Rodrigues54%
Matthieu Duclos 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Modestino Rodrigues a 54% favorite over Matthieu Duclos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1661), separated by just 1 points.
Matthieu Duclos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Modestino Rodrigues enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Matthieu Duclos finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Modestino Rodrigues 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.