Matthieu Duclos vs Nemanja Nikolić
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record10-1-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
76"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matthieu DuclosNemanja Nikolić
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matthieu Duclos61%
Nemanja Nikolić 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthieu Duclos a 61% favorite over Nemanja Nikolić in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nemanja Nikolić's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1657), separated by just 3 points.
Matthieu Duclos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Matthieu Duclos finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Nemanja Nikolić 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.