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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mattia Giordano vs Nick Aguirre

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record7-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach74,0"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Levium Armorum TeamTeamValle Flow Striking· 1678 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mattia GiordanoNow 1573
If they win+24→ 1597
If they lose-24→ 1549
Nick AguirreNow 1573
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1489 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
0.73
Not available
Strike accuracy
34%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.89
Not available
Strike defense
46%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.16
Not available
Takedown accuracy
20%
Not available
Takedown defense
33%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

Mattia GiordanoNick Aguirre
15001550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
1 (20%)
Submission
4 (57%)
1 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mattia Giordano52%
Nick Aguirre 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mattia Giordano a 52% favorite over Nick Aguirre in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1573), separated by just 0 points.

Mattia Giordano enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Nick Aguirre enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mattia Giordano finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Nick Aguirre 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.