Mattia Giordano vs Ronaldo Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record11-6-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'4"
TBDReach-
136 lbsWeight136 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1597
If they lose-24→ 1549
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1489 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mattia GiordanoRonaldo Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ronaldo Oliveira52%
Mattia Giordano 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ronaldo Oliveira a 52% favorite over Mattia Giordano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mattia Giordano's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1573), separated by just 0 points.
Mattia Giordano enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Mattia Giordano finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Ronaldo Oliveira 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.