Maurício Rua vs Nikita Krylov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
27-14-1Record31-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
76"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight215 lbs
Universidade da LutaTeamRaty Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1709 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Maurício RuaNikita Krylov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nikita Krylov84%
Maurício Rua 16%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nikita Krylov a 84% favorite over Maurício Rua in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Maurício Rua's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1691), separated by just 0 points.
Maurício Rua enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Maurício Rua finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Krylov 94%.
Maurício Rua and Nikita Krylov share 1 common opponent: Paul Craig.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.