Combat Edge Intelligence

Maurice Adorf vs Nathan Trepagnier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record5-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight5'7"
-Reach67"
156 lbsWeight160 lbs
Fight Club Gelsenkirchen· 1574 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAcademy of Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Maurice AdorfNow 1503
If they win+16→ 1519
If they lose-16→ 1487
Nathan TrepagnierNow 1505
If they win+16→ 1521
If they lose-16→ 1489

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Maurice AdorfNathan Trepagnier
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (40%)
4 (67%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Nathan Trepagnier61%
Maurice Adorf 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nathan Trepagnier a 61% favorite over Maurice Adorf in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1503 vs 1505), separated by just 2 points.

Maurice Adorf enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Maurice Adorf finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Trepagnier 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.