Maurice Greene vs Sergei Pavlovich
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-9-0Record21-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'3"
TBDReach84"
262 lbsWeight260 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamEagles MMA
What's at stake
Sergei Pavlovich is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Maurice Greene carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1619
If they lose-7→ 1587
If they win+7→ 1816
If they lose-25→ 1784
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1730 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Maurice GreeneSergei Pavlovich
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergei Pavlovich92%
Maurice Greene 8%Elo baseline: 78%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergei Pavlovich a 92% favorite over Maurice Greene in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).
Sergei Pavlovich holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1809 to 1594, a 215-point edge.
Maurice Greene enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sergei Pavlovich enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Maurice Greene finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Sergei Pavlovich 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.