Combat Edge Intelligence

Maurice Smith vs Norbert Pietrzak

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-14-0Record3-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach-
206 lbsWeight206 lbs
The AllianceTeamPro-Core HQ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Maurice SmithNow 1545
If they win+12→ 1557
If they lose-12→ 1533
Norbert PietrzakNow 1553
If they win+23→ 1576
If they lose-25→ 1528

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.41
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
0.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
60%
Strike defense
TBD
0.89
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
20%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.89
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Maurice SmithNorbert Pietrzak
155020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
2 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (25%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Norbert Pietrzak71%
Maurice Smith 29%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Norbert Pietrzak a 71% favorite over Maurice Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1545 vs 1553), separated by just 8 points.

Maurice Smith finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Norbert Pietrzak 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.