Maurice Smith vs Renato Sobral
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-14-0Record37-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
The AllianceTeamBabalu's Iron Gym
What's at stake
Renato Sobral is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Maurice Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1563
If they lose-7→ 1539
If they win+7→ 1694
If they lose-17→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Maurice SmithRenato Sobral
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Renato Sobral74%
Maurice Smith 26%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Renato Sobral a 74% favorite over Maurice Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Renato Sobral holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1546, a 141-point edge.
Renato Sobral enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Maurice Smith finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Renato Sobral 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.