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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mauricio Ruffy vs Piero Guaylupo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record13-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
75"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
The Fighting Nerds· 1704 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamLos Perros Sarnosos

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mauricio RuffyNow 1732
If they win+16→ 1748
If they lose-16→ 1716
Piero GuaylupoNow 1733
If they win+16→ 1749
If they lose-16→ 1717

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.19
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
57%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
59%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
87%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Mauricio RuffyPiero Guaylupo
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (93%)
KO/TKO
11 (85%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (7%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Mauricio Ruffy67%
Piero Guaylupo 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mauricio Ruffy a 67% favorite over Piero Guaylupo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Piero Guaylupo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1733), separated by just 1 points.

Piero Guaylupo enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Mauricio Ruffy finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Piero Guaylupo 85%.

Mauricio Ruffy carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.