Combat Edge Intelligence

Mauricio Ruffy vs Rafael Fiziev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-2-0 Record 14-5-0
Lightweight Division Lightweight
5'11" Height 5'8"
75" Reach 71"
155 lbs Weight 155 lbs
The Fighting Nerds Team Tiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

Mauricio Ruffy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Rafael Fiziev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mauricio RuffyNow 1748
If they win+15→ 1763
If they lose-17→ 1731
Rafael FizievNow 1730
If they win+17→ 1747
If they lose-15→ 1715

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

4.19
Sig. strikes / min
4.71
58%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.09
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
4.84
59%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
0.83
0%
Takedown accuracy
67%
85%
Takedown defense
90%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mauricio Ruffy Rafael Fiziev
1650 1700 1750 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

13 (93%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (7%)
1 (7%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mauricio Ruffy and Rafael Fiziev within a point of even.

Mauricio Ruffy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1748 to 1730, a 18-point edge.

Mauricio Ruffy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mauricio Ruffy finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Fiziev 71%.

Mauricio Ruffy and Rafael Fiziev share 1 common opponent: King Green.

Mauricio Ruffy carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Win KO · 2025
King Green
Win Decision (unanimous) · 2021