Maurício Rua vs Simeon Powell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-14-1Record13-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
76"Reach85"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Universidade da LutaTeamTitan Fighter Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Maurício RuaSimeon Powell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Simeon Powell59%
Maurício Rua 41%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Simeon Powell a 59% favorite over Maurício Rua in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Maurício Rua's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1687), separated by just 4 points.
Maurício Rua enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Simeon Powell enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Maurício Rua finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Simeon Powell 69%.
Simeon Powell carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.