Maurício Rua vs Tyson Pedro
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-14-1Record10-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
76"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Universidade da LutaTeamLions High Performance Centre
What's at stake
Maurício Rua is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Tyson Pedro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1700
If they lose-15→ 1676
If they win+19→ 1633
If they lose-13→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Maurício RuaTyson Pedro
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Maurício Rua and Tyson Pedro within a point of even.
Maurício Rua holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1614, a 77-point edge.
Maurício Rua enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Tyson Pedro enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Maurício Rua finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Pedro 100%.
Maurício Rua and Tyson Pedro share 1 common opponent: Ovince St. Preux.
Tyson Pedro carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.