Combat Edge Intelligence

Maurício Rua vs Valentin Moldavsky

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

27-14-1Record15-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
76"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Universidade da LutaTeamFedorTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Maurício RuaNow 1691
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
Valentin MoldavskyNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.57
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
2.01
Takedown avg.
TBD
49%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
49%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.71
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Maurício RuaValentin Moldavsky
17001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

21 (78%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
1 (4%)
Submission
3 (20%)
5 (19%)
Decision
10 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Valentin Moldavsky76%
Maurício Rua 24%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Valentin Moldavsky a 76% favorite over Maurício Rua in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1693), separated by just 2 points.

Maurício Rua enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Maurício Rua finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Valentin Moldavsky 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.