Combat Edge Intelligence

Max Gimenis vs Yorgan De Castro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record12-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
75"Reach74"
238 lbsWeight265 lbs
Culture of Jiu-JitsuTeamRegiment Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Max GimenisNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
Yorgan De CastroNow 1582
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.21
Sig. strikes / min
2.46
43%
Strike accuracy
44%
9.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
47%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
78%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Max GimenisYorgan De Castro
150015501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
2 (33%)
Submission
1 (8%)
1 (17%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Max Gimenis67%
Yorgan De Castro 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Max Gimenis a 67% favorite over Yorgan De Castro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1582), separated by just 1 points.

Max Gimenis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Yorgan De Castro 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.