Max Griffin vs Michael Morales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-13-0Record19-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
76"Reach 79"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMAGOLD Fight TeamTeamEntram Gym· 1680 avg Elo · 11 rated
What's at stake
Michael Morales is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Max Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1686
If they lose-7→ 1662
If they win+9→ 1848
If they lose-23→ 1816
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1702 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Max GriffinMichael Morales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Morales92%
Max Griffin 8%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Morales a 92% favorite over Max Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Michael Morales holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1839 to 1669, a 170-point edge.
Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Michael Morales enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Max Griffin finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Michael Morales 79%.
Max Griffin and Michael Morales share 1 common opponent: Neil Magny.
Michael Morales carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.