Combat Edge Intelligence

Max Griffin vs Mike Perry

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Perry
us

Mike Perry

“Platinum”

15-8-0WelterweightMVP

1686Good

Tale of the tape

20-13-0Record15-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
76"Reach 71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMAGOLD Fight TeamTeamIndependent

What's at stake

Mike Perry is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Max Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Max GriffinNow 1669
If they win+13→ 1682
If they lose-11→ 1658
Mike PerryNow 1686
If they win+15→ 1701
If they lose-17→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.76
Sig. strikes / min
4.32
47%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.16
58%
Strike defense
53%
1.28
Takedown avg.
0.81
41%
Takedown accuracy
41%
70%
Takedown defense
79%
0.26
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Max GriffinMike Perry
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
12 (80%)
2 (10%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (45%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Perry59%
Max Griffin 41%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Perry a 59% favorite over Max Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Mike Perry holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1669, a 17-point edge.

Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Max Griffin finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Mike Perry 80%.

Max Griffin and Mike Perry share 1 common opponent: Tim Means.

Max Griffin carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (split) · 2022
Tim Means
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020