Combat Edge Intelligence

Max Griffin vs Neil Magny

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Neil Magny
us

Neil Magny

“The Haitian Sensation”

31-14-0WelterweightUFC

1758Great

Tale of the tape

20-13-0Record31-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'3"
76"Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMAGOLD Fight TeamTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Max Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Max GriffinNow 1669
If they win+15→ 1684
If they lose-9→ 1660
Neil MagnyNow 1758
If they win+9→ 1767
If they lose-15→ 1743

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.76
Sig. strikes / min
3.40
47%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
58%
Strike defense
52%
1.28
Takedown avg.
2.17
41%
Takedown accuracy
25%
70%
Takedown defense
55%
0.26
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Max GriffinNeil Magny
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
9 (29%)
2 (10%)
Submission
5 (16%)
9 (45%)
Decision
17 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Neil Magny71%
Max Griffin 29%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 71% favorite over Max Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1669, a 89-point edge.

Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Max Griffin finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 45%.

Max Griffin and Neil Magny share 1 common opponent: Michael Morales.

Neil Magny carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Michael Morales
LossTKO · 2024