Combat Edge Intelligence

Max Grishin vs Trevor Makengo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Max Grishin
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Max Grishin

“Drago”

38-10-0HeavyweightRCC

1539Average

Tale of the tape

38-10-0Record2-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'3"
TBDReach-
258 lbsWeight239 lbs
Strela TeamTeamC-MAC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Max GrishinNow 1539
If they win+23→ 1562
If they lose-25→ 1514
Trevor MakengoNow 1531
If they win+25→ 1556
If they lose-23→ 1508

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.26
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
0.21
Takedown avg.
TBD
17%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Max GrishinTrevor Makengo
15001550202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

24 (63%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
4 (11%)
Submission
1 (50%)
10 (26%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Trevor Makengo60%
Max Grishin 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Makengo a 60% favorite over Max Grishin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Max Grishin's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1531), separated by just 8 points.

Max Grishin finishes 74% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.