Combat Edge Intelligence

Max Grishin vs William Knight

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Max Grishin
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Max Grishin

“Drago”

38-10-0HeavyweightRCC

1540Average

Tale of the tape

38-10-0Record11-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height5'10"
TBDReach 73"
258 lbsWeight245 lbs
Strela TeamTeamThornton Martial Arts

What's at stake

William Knight is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Max Grishin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Max GrishinNow 1540
If they win+28→ 1568
If they lose-20→ 1520
William KnightNow 1604
If they win+13→ 1617
If they lose-19→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1654 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.26
Sig. strikes / min
2.62
53%
Strike accuracy
57%
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.30
59%
Strike defense
36%
0.21
Takedown avg.
1.78
17%
Takedown accuracy
41%
67%
Takedown defense
48%
0
Submission avg.
0.41

Trajectory

Max GrishinWilliam Knight
1550160016501700202120222023

Win method breakdown

24 (63%)
KO/TKO
9 (82%)
4 (11%)
Submission
0 (0%)
10 (26%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

William Knight60%
Max Grishin 40%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes William Knight a 60% favorite over Max Grishin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

William Knight holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1604 to 1540, a 64-point edge.

William Knight enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Max Grishin finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, William Knight 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.