Max Holloway vs Pat Schilling
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-9-0Record5-2-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
69"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Gracie TechnicsTeamAmbition Training Academy
What's at stake
Max Holloway is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +3 while a loss costs more — Pat Schilling carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+3→ 1833
If they lose-21→ 1809
If they win+41→ 1563
If they lose-7→ 1515
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1791 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Max HollowayPat Schilling
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Max Holloway88%
Pat Schilling 12%Elo baseline: 85%
The Combat Edge model makes Max Holloway a 88% favorite over Pat Schilling in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (85%).
Max Holloway holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1522, a 308-point edge.
Pat Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Max Holloway finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Pat Schilling 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.