Max Holloway vs Ricardo Lamas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-9-0Record20-8-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
69"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Gracie TechnicsTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
Max Holloway is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ricardo Lamas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1839
If they lose-15→ 1815
If they win+15→ 1745
If they lose-9→ 1721
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1791 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Max HollowayRicardo Lamas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Max Holloway84%
Ricardo Lamas 16%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Max Holloway a 84% favorite over Ricardo Lamas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Max Holloway holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1730, a 100-point edge.
Max Holloway finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Lamas 55%.
Max Holloway and Ricardo Lamas share 2 common opponents: Charles Oliveira and Calvin Kattar.
Ricardo Lamas carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.