Max Holloway vs Will Chope
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-9-0Record42-21-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'4"
69"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gracie TechnicsTeamJuggernaut Fight Club
What's at stake
Max Holloway is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Will Chope carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1835
If they lose-19→ 1811
If they win+19→ 1602
If they lose-5→ 1578
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1791 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Max HollowayWill Chope
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Max Holloway92%
Will Chope 8%Elo baseline: 81%
The Combat Edge model makes Max Holloway a 92% favorite over Will Chope in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (81%).
Max Holloway holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1583, a 247-point edge.
Will Chope enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Max Holloway finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Will Chope 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.