Combat Edge Intelligence

Max Mustaki vs Pedro Ribeiro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Pedro Ribeiro
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Pedro Ribeiro

“Pedrinho Thai”

2-1-0LightweightLFA

1518Average

Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record2-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
CheckmatTeamCT Punch Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Max MustakiNow 1508
If they win+25→ 1533
If they lose-23→ 1485
Pedro RibeiroNow 1518
If they win+23→ 1541
If they lose-25→ 1493

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

8.20
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Max MustakiPedro Ribeiro
1500155020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Decision
2 (100%)

Combat Edge model read

Pedro Ribeiro63%
Max Mustaki 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Ribeiro a 63% favorite over Max Mustaki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1508 vs 1518), separated by just 10 points.

Max Mustaki finishes 83% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.