Combat Edge Intelligence

Mehdi Baydulaev vs Rashid Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-2-0Record25-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71.7"Reach70,5"
147 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club Berkut· 1661 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamGorets Fight Club· 1716 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mehdi BaydulaevNow 1750
If they win+16→ 1766
If they lose-16→ 1734
Rashid MagomedovNow 1750
If they win+12→ 1762
If they lose-12→ 1738

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.40
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.67
TBD
Takedown accuracy
57%
TBD
Takedown defense
89%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Mehdi BaydulaevRashid Magomedov
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (15%)
KO/TKO
9 (36%)
11 (55%)
Submission
1 (4%)
6 (30%)
Decision
15 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Mehdi Baydulaev71%
Rashid Magomedov 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mehdi Baydulaev a 71% favorite over Rashid Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1750 vs 1750), separated by just 0 points.

Mehdi Baydulaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Mehdi Baydulaev finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Rashid Magomedov 40%.

Mehdi Baydulaev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.