Combat Edge Intelligence

Mehdi Zeidvand vs Thiago Tavares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-0-0Record24-11-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'7"
-Reach68,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
TristarTeamTeam Tavares

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mehdi ZeidvandNow 1647
If they win+24→ 1671
If they lose-24→ 1623
Thiago TavaresNow 1647
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.31
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.83
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
TBD
Takedown defense
63%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.46

Trajectory

Mehdi ZeidvandThiago Tavares
1550160016502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
0 (0%)
Submission
15 (63%)
3 (43%)
Decision
5 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Mehdi Zeidvand55%
Thiago Tavares 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mehdi Zeidvand a 55% favorite over Thiago Tavares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1647), separated by just 0 points.

Mehdi Zeidvand enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Mehdi Zeidvand finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Tavares 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.