Combat Edge Intelligence

Mehemmedeli Osmanli vs Michael McDonald

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record19-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-Reach70,0"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mehemmedeli OsmanliNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
Michael McDonaldNow 1692
If they win+12→ 1704
If they lose-12→ 1680

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
2.69
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.76
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.09
TBD
Takedown accuracy
67%
TBD
Takedown defense
52%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.45

Trajectory

Mehemmedeli OsmanliMichael McDonald
15501600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
10 (53%)
6 (55%)
Submission
6 (32%)
2 (18%)
Decision
3 (16%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael McDonald59%
Mehemmedeli Osmanli 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael McDonald a 59% favorite over Mehemmedeli Osmanli in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mehemmedeli Osmanli's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1692), separated by just 2 points.

Mehemmedeli Osmanli enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Michael McDonald enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mehemmedeli Osmanli finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Michael McDonald 84%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.