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Combat Edge Intelligence

Melissa Croden vs Talita Bernardo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record11-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'4"
69"Reach40,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Melissa CrodenNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606
Talita BernardoNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.27
Sig. strikes / min
3.12
47%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.04
59%
Strike defense
56%
2.02
Takedown avg.
1.62
17%
Takedown accuracy
22%
67%
Takedown defense
29%
0.34
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Melissa CrodenTalita Bernardo
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (13%)
Submission
7 (64%)
1 (13%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Melissa Croden67%
Talita Bernardo 33%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Croden a 67% favorite over Talita Bernardo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1617), separated by just 5 points.

Melissa Croden finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Talita Bernardo 64%.

Melissa Croden and Talita Bernardo share 1 common opponent: Katharina Lehner.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO (Punches) · 2023
Katharina Lehner
Win Kimura · 2022