Combat Edge Intelligence

Melissa Gatto vs Poliana Botelho

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-3-2Record9-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
69"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
MSPTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Melissa GattoNow 1571
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547
Poliana BotelhoNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.47
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
50%
Strike accuracy
59%
2.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
54%
Strike defense
54%
1.77
Takedown avg.
0.85
3%
Takedown accuracy
57%
59%
Takedown defense
77%
0.39
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Melissa GattoPoliana Botelho
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
4 (44%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (22%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Melissa Gatto63%
Poliana Botelho 37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Gatto a 63% favorite over Poliana Botelho in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Poliana Botelho's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1575), separated by just 4 points.

Melissa Gatto finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Poliana Botelho 67%.

Melissa Gatto carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.