Combat Edge Intelligence

Melissa Gatto vs Tamires Vidal

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-2Record7-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'6"
69"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MSPTeamBenito Macapa Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Melissa GattoNow 1571
If they win+23→ 1594
If they lose-25→ 1546
Tamires VidalNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
50%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.46
54%
Strike defense
49%
1.47
Takedown avg.
0
29%
Takedown accuracy
0%
64%
Takedown defense
36%
0.49
Submission avg.
0.69

Trajectory

Melissa GattoTamires Vidal
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
4 (44%)
Submission
2 (33%)
2 (22%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Melissa Gatto61%
Tamires Vidal 39%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Gatto a 61% favorite over Tamires Vidal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1562), separated by just 9 points.

Tamires Vidal enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Melissa Gatto finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Tamires Vidal 50%.

Melissa Gatto and Tamires Vidal share 1 common opponent: Karol Rosa.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission (Kimura) · 2018
Karol Rosa
LossSubmission (Arm Triangle Choke) · 2019