Combat Edge Intelligence

Melissa Gatto vs Vanessa Demopoulos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-2Record11-8-0
BantamweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'2"
69"Reach 59"
135 lbsWeight115 lbs
MSPTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Melissa GattoNow 1571
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547
Vanessa DemopoulosNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
3.49
50%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.23
54%
Strike defense
42%
1.47
Takedown avg.
0.36
29%
Takedown accuracy
12%
64%
Takedown defense
25%
0.49
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Melissa GattoVanessa Demopoulos
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
4 (44%)
Submission
4 (36%)
2 (22%)
Decision
6 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Melissa Gatto63%
Vanessa Demopoulos 37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Gatto a 63% favorite over Vanessa Demopoulos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vanessa Demopoulos's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1577), separated by just 6 points.

Vanessa Demopoulos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Melissa Gatto finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Vanessa Demopoulos 45%.

Melissa Gatto carries a 10-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.