Combat Edge Intelligence

Melissa Gatto vs Victoria Leonardo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-2Record10-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
69"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
MSPTeamElite Combat Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Melissa GattoNow 1571
If they win+23→ 1594
If they lose-25→ 1546
Victoria LeonardoNow 1559
If they win+17→ 1576
If they lose-15→ 1544

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
50%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.81
54%
Strike defense
47%
1.47
Takedown avg.
1.57
29%
Takedown accuracy
28%
64%
Takedown defense
71%
0.49
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Melissa GattoVictoria Leonardo
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
4 (44%)
Submission
5 (50%)
2 (22%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Melissa Gatto64%
Victoria Leonardo 36%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Gatto a 64% favorite over Victoria Leonardo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1559), separated by just 12 points.

Melissa Gatto finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Victoria Leonardo 60%.

Melissa Gatto carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.