Melissa Martinez vs Sam Hughes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record11-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'5"
66"Reach64"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Bonebreakers TeamTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Melissa MartinezSam Hughes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sam Hughes57%
Melissa Martinez 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sam Hughes a 57% favorite over Melissa Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Melissa Martinez's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1606), separated by just 3 points.
Melissa Martinez finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Sam Hughes 55%.
Melissa Martinez and Sam Hughes share 1 common opponent: Elise Reed.
Melissa Martinez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.