Combat Edge Intelligence

Melissa Mullins vs Tainara Lisboa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record7-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach67"
138 lbsWeight134 lbs
Lions Gym CoventryTeamDamas 013

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Melissa MullinsNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579
Tainara LisboaNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
1.68
50%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.42
53%
Strike defense
49%
2.03
Takedown avg.
1.53
43%
Takedown accuracy
36%
86%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Melissa MullinsTainara Lisboa
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (43%)
3 (43%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Melissa Mullins60%
Tainara Lisboa 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Mullins a 60% favorite over Tainara Lisboa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1588), separated by just 7 points.

Melissa Mullins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tainara Lisboa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Melissa Mullins finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Tainara Lisboa 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.