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Combat Edge Intelligence

Melissa Mullins vs Tainara Lisboa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record7-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach67"
138 lbsWeight134 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Melissa MullinsNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580
Tainara LisboaNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
2.01
50%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.88
53%
Strike defense
46%
2.03
Takedown avg.
1.67
43%
Takedown accuracy
5%
86%
Takedown defense
53%
0
Submission avg.
0.28

Trajectory

Melissa MullinsTainara Lisboa
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (43%)
3 (43%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Melissa Mullins59%
Tainara Lisboa 41%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Mullins a 59% favorite over Tainara Lisboa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1588), separated by just 8 points.

Melissa Mullins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tainara Lisboa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Melissa Mullins finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Tainara Lisboa 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.