Combat Edge Intelligence

Melissa Mullins vs Thalyta Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record4-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'5"
68"Reach-
138 lbsWeight136 lbs
Lions Gym CoventryTeamFighting Nerds

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Melissa MullinsNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
Thalyta SilvaNow 1597
If they win+24→ 1621
If they lose-24→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
50%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
53%
Strike defense
Not available
2.03
Takedown avg.
Not available
43%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
86%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Melissa MullinsThalyta Silva
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (50%)
3 (43%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Melissa Mullins59%
Thalyta Silva 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Mullins a 59% favorite over Thalyta Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Thalyta Silva's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1597), separated by just 3 points.

Melissa Mullins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Thalyta Silva enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Melissa Mullins finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Thalyta Silva 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.