Melquizael Costa vs Morgan Charrière
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
26-8-0Record21-13-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Chute Boxe Joao Emilio· 1705 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTeam Chapa Quente
What's at stake
Melquizael Costa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Morgan Charrière carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1695
If they lose-14→ 1671
If they win+14→ 1648
If they lose-10→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Melquizael CostaMorgan Charrière
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Melquizael Costa68%
Morgan Charrière 32%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Melquizael Costa a 68% favorite over Morgan Charrière in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Melquizael Costa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1634, a 51-point edge.
Morgan Charrière enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Melquizael Costa finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Morgan Charrière 76%.
Melquizael Costa carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.