Melquizael Costa vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-8-0Record39-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Chute Boxe Joao EmilioTeamChina Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670
If they win+12→ 1692
If they lose-12→ 1668
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Melquizael CostaShayilan Nuerdanbieke
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Melquizael Costa67%
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Melquizael Costa a 67% favorite over Shayilan Nuerdanbieke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1680), separated by just 2 points.
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Melquizael Costa finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 74%.
Melquizael Costa and Shayilan Nuerdanbieke share 1 common opponent: Steve Garcia.
Melquizael Costa carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.