Combat Edge Intelligence

Melquizael Costa vs Young Jae Song

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-8-0Record10-1-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Chute Boxe Joao Emilio· 1698 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamHavas MMA· 1657 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Melquizael CostaNow 1681
If they win+12→ 1693
If they lose-12→ 1669
Young Jae SongNow 1681
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.38
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
55%
Strike defense
TBD
2
Takedown avg.
TBD
41%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
59%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.09
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Melquizael CostaYoung Jae Song
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (35%)
KO/TKO
8 (80%)
8 (31%)
Submission
2 (20%)
9 (35%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Melquizael Costa and Young Jae Song within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1681), separated by just 0 points.

Young Jae Song enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Melquizael Costa finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Young Jae Song 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.