Combat Edge Intelligence

Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Yibugele

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Yibugele
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Yibugele

“Eagle”

24-13-1FeatherweightRUFC

1626Solid

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record24-13-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Melsik BaghdasaryanNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
YibugeleNow 1626
If they win+12→ 1638
If they lose-12→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.04
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
60%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
73%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Melsik BaghdasaryanYibugele
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
11 (46%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (8%)
3 (38%)
Decision
11 (46%)

Combat Edge model read

Melsik Baghdasaryan62%
Yibugele 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Melsik Baghdasaryan a 62% favorite over Yibugele in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yibugele's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1626), separated by just 3 points.

Melsik Baghdasaryan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Melsik Baghdasaryan finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Yibugele 54%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.