Melvin Guillard vs Mohammed Amine Moufrij
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-22-2Record1-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1523
If they lose-12→ 1499
If they win+24→ 1531
If they lose-24→ 1483
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Melvin GuillardMohammed Amine Moufrij
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mohammed Amine Moufrij60%
Melvin Guillard 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Mohammed Amine Moufrij a 60% favorite over Melvin Guillard in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Melvin Guillard's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1511 vs 1507), separated by just 4 points.
Melvin Guillard enters on a 10-fight loss streak.
Melvin Guillard finishes 72% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.