Combat Edge Intelligence

Melvin Guillard vs Rich Clementi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Melvin Guillard
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Melvin Guillard

“The Young Assassin”

32-22-2WelterweightUCL

1521Average

Tale of the tape

32-22-2Record45-23-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Genesis Training CenterTeamTeam Voodoo

What's at stake

Rich Clementi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Melvin Guillard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Melvin GuillardNow 1521
If they win+16→ 1537
If they lose-8→ 1513
Rich ClementiNow 1631
If they win+8→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.96
Sig. strikes / min
1.56
41%
Strike accuracy
37%
1.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.56
66%
Strike defense
61%
1.30
Takedown avg.
1.92
64%
Takedown accuracy
42%
61%
Takedown defense
26%
0.19
Submission avg.
1.10

Trajectory

Melvin GuillardRich Clementi
155016001650201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

21 (66%)
KO/TKO
13 (29%)
2 (6%)
Submission
23 (51%)
9 (28%)
Decision
9 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Rich Clementi56%
Melvin Guillard 44%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Rich Clementi a 56% favorite over Melvin Guillard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Rich Clementi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1521, a 110-point edge.

Melvin Guillard enters on a 10-fight loss streak.

Rich Clementi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Melvin Guillard finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Rich Clementi 80%.

Melvin Guillard and Rich Clementi share 1 common opponent: Derek Campos.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Loss Punches · 2016
Derek Campos
Win Guillotine Choke · 2012